NFL Week 11 picks: Eagles upset Chiefs in Super Bowl rematch, Browns beat Steelers in AFC North showdown

NFL Week 11 picks: Eagles upset Chiefs in Super Bowl rematch, Browns beat Steelers in AFC North showdown

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The NFL has been scheduling bye weeks since 1990 and after 33 years, I think we can finally hand out the award for best bye week ever and that award goes to Travis Kelce.

I don’t necessarily know what qualifies as the best bye week ever, but I feel like taking a three-day trip to Argentina has to be on the list. Also, let’s not forget that Kelce flew all the way there just to hang out with an Eagles fan, which is somewhat suspicious because his Chiefs are PLAYING the Eagles this week.

I have no idea if Taylor Swift will be at the game on Monday, but if she shows up, she might want to borrow one of those split jerseys that Donna Kelce wears every time the Eagles and Chiefs play each other. The Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and Chiefs is definitely the biggest game of the week. So who’s going to win? Let’s get to the picks and find out.

Actually, before we get to the Week 11 picks, here’s a quick reminder that you can check out the weekly picks from every CBSSports.com NFL expert by clicking here. In completely unrelated news, I’m in charge of the NFL newsletter here at CBSSports.com, which I’m only telling you about because it’s the perfect gift for the holidays. If you want to buy someone a gift, but you don’t actually want to spend money on them, just subscribe them to the newsletter. It’s the gift that keeps on giving. All you have to do is click here and enter their email address.

If the Bengals and Ravens get into a pregame scuffle on Thursday, it’s probably because they’re arguing about who had the worst loss in Week 10.

On one hand, we have the Bengals, who forgot to show up for the first three quarters against the Texans, but then still somehow almost won the game before losing 30-27 on a last-second field goal.

The NFL has been scheduling bye weeks since 1990 and after 33 years, I think we can finally hand out the award for best bye week ever and that award goes to Travis Kelce.

I don’t necessarily know what qualifies as the best bye week ever, but I feel like taking a three-day trip to Argentina has to be on the list. Also, let’s not forget that Kelce flew all the way there just to hang out with an Eagles fan, which is somewhat suspicious because his Chiefs are PLAYING the Eagles this week.

I have no idea if Taylor Swift will be at the game on Monday, but if she shows up, she might want to borrow one of those split jerseys that Donna Kelce wears every time the Eagles and Chiefs play each other. The Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and Chiefs is definitely the biggest game of the week. So who’s going to win? Let’s get to the picks and find out.

Actually, before we get to the Week 11 picks, here’s a quick reminder that you can check out the weekly picks from every CBSSports.com NFL expert by clicking here. In completely unrelated news, I’m in charge of the NFL newsletter here at CBSSports.com, which I’m only telling you about because it’s the perfect gift for the holidays. If you want to buy someone a gift, but you don’t actually want to spend money on them, just subscribe them to the newsletter. It’s the gift that keeps on giving. All you have to do is click here and enter their email address.

I’ve spent 11 weeks asking you to sign up for that newsletter and if you haven’t done it yet, I should probably just assume it’s not going to happen. And that’s alright. Even if you don’t sign up, I still love you and you still get my picks.

NFL Week 11 picks

Cincinnati (5-4) at Baltimore (7-3

If the Bengals and Ravens get into a pregame scuffle on Thursday, it’s probably because they’re arguing about who had the worst loss in Week 10.

On one hand, we have the Bengals, who forgot to show up for the first three quarters against the Texans, but then still somehow almost won the game before losing 30-27 on a last-second field goal.

On the other hand, we have the Ravens, who lost a game they had no business losing. The Ravens were beating the Browns 31-17 with under 10 minutes left to play in the fourth quarter, and they somehow managed to blow that lead in a 33-31 loss.

The fact that the Ravens blew a fourth quarter lead is mildly concerning and that’s because they seem to do it every other week. If an NFL game was only three quarters long, the Ravens would be undefeated and they would have won the past five Super Bowls, but unfortunately, Roger Goodell hates the Ravens, which is why games are four quarters long.

So how bad have things gotten for the Ravens? This bad.

The NFL has been scheduling bye weeks since 1990 and after 33 years, I think we can finally hand out the award for best bye week ever and that award goes to Travis Kelce.

I don’t necessarily know what qualifies as the best bye week ever, but I feel like taking a three-day trip to Argentina has to be on the list. Also, let’s not forget that Kelce flew all the way there just to hang out with an Eagles fan, which is somewhat suspicious because his Chiefs are PLAYING the Eagles this week.

I have no idea if Taylor Swift will be at the game on Monday, but if she shows up, she might want to borrow one of those split jerseys that Donna Kelce wears every time the Eagles and Chiefs play each other. The Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and Chiefs is definitely the biggest game of the week. So who’s going to win? Let’s get to the picks and find out.

Actually, before we get to the Week 11 picks, here’s a quick reminder that you can check out the weekly picks from every CBSSports.com NFL expert by clicking here. In completely unrelated news, I’m in charge of the NFL newsletter here at CBSSports.com, which I’m only telling you about because it’s the perfect gift for the holidays. If you want to buy someone a gift, but you don’t actually want to spend money on them, just subscribe them to the newsletter. It’s the gift that keeps on giving. All you have to do is click here and enter their email address.

I’ve spent 11 weeks asking you to sign up for that newsletter and if you haven’t done it yet, I should probably just assume it’s not going to happen. And that’s alright. Even if you don’t sign up, I still love you and you still get my picks.

NFL Week 11 picks

Cincinnati (5-4) at Baltimore (7-3)

If the Bengals and Ravens get into a pregame scuffle on Thursday, it’s probably because they’re arguing about who had the worst loss in Week 10.

On one hand, we have the Bengals, who forgot to show up for the first three quarters against the Texans, but then still somehow almost won the game before losing 30-27 on a last-second field goal.

On the other hand, we have the Ravens, who lost a game they had no business losing. The Ravens were beating the Browns 31-17 with under 10 minutes left to play in the fourth quarter, and they somehow managed to blow that lead in a 33-31 loss.

The fact that the Ravens blew a fourth quarter lead is mildly concerning and that’s because they seem to do it every other week. If an NFL game was only three quarters long, the Ravens would be undefeated and they would have won the past five Super Bowls, but unfortunately, Roger Goodell hates the Ravens, which is why games are four quarters long.

So how bad have things gotten for the Ravens? This bad.

For whatever reason, the entire team seems to melt down whenever they have a big lead in the fourth quarter and that starts with Lamar Jackson. Since the start of the 2021 season, Jackson has 13 touchdowns and 13 turnovers in the fourth quarter (To put that in perspective, Joe Burrow has 25 touchdowns and 11 turnovers). Jackson has been even worse when the Ravens have the lead over that span with just five touchdowns and eight turnovers. He also has a QB rating of just 60.7 in games since 2021 where the Ravens have a fourth quarter lead, which is the worst rating in the NFL for any QB who has at least 20 attempts in that situation.

The NFL has been scheduling bye weeks since 1990 and after 33 years, I think we can finally hand out the award for best bye week ever and that award goes to Travis Kelce.

I don’t necessarily know what qualifies as the best bye week ever, but I feel like taking a three-day trip to Argentina has to be on the list. Also, let’s not forget that Kelce flew all the way there just to hang out with an Eagles fan, which is somewhat suspicious because his Chiefs are PLAYING the Eagles this week.

I have no idea if Taylor Swift will be at the game on Monday, but if she shows up, she might want to borrow one of those split jerseys that Donna Kelce wears every time the Eagles and Chiefs play each other. The Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and Chiefs is definitely the biggest game of the week. So who’s going to win? Let’s get to the picks and find out.

Actually, before we get to the Week 11 picks, here’s a quick reminder that you can check out the weekly picks from every CBSSports.com NFL expert by clicking here. In completely unrelated news, I’m in charge of the NFL newsletter here at CBSSports.com, which I’m only telling you about because it’s the perfect gift for the holidays. If you want to buy someone a gift, but you don’t actually want to spend money on them, just subscribe them to the newsletter. It’s the gift that keeps on giving. All you have to do is click here and enter their email address.

I’ve spent 11 weeks asking you to sign up for that newsletter and if you haven’t done it yet, I should probably just assume it’s not going to happen. And that’s alright. Even if you don’t sign up, I still love you and you still get my picks.

NFL Week 11 picks

Cincinnati (5-4) at Baltimore

If the Bengals and Ravens get into a pregame scuffle on Thursday, it’s probably because they’re arguing about who had the worst loss in Week 10.

On one hand, we have the Bengals, who forgot to show up for the first three quarters against the Texans, but then still somehow almost won the game before losing 30-27 on a last-second field goal.

On the other hand, we have the Ravens, who lost a game they had no business losing. The Ravens were beating the Browns 31-17 with under 10 minutes left to play in the fourth quarter, and they somehow managed to blow that lead in a 33-31 loss.

The fact that the Ravens blew a fourth quarter lead is mildly concerning and that’s because they seem to do it every other week. If an NFL game was only three quarters long, the Ravens would be undefeated and they would have won the past five Super Bowls, but unfortunately, Roger Goodell hates the Ravens, which is why games are four quarters long.

So how bad have things gotten for the Ravens? This bad.

For whatever reason, the entire team seems to melt down whenever they have a big lead in the fourth quarter and that starts with Lamar Jackson. Since the start of the 2021 season, Jackson has 13 touchdowns and 13 turnovers in the fourth quarter (To put that in perspective, Joe Burrow has 25 touchdowns and 11 turnovers). Jackson has been even worse when the Ravens have the lead over that span with just five touchdowns and eight turnovers. He also has a QB rating of just 60.7 in games since 2021 where the Ravens have a fourth quarter lead, which is the worst rating in the NFL for any QB who has at least 20 attempts in that situation.

With those stats, it would be easy to pin this all on Jackson, but the defense has also been disappearing. If the Ravens start playing the fourth quarter like they play the first three quarters, this team would be nearly impossible to beat.

These two teams played back in Week 2 with the Ravens beating the Bengals 27-24, but it’s hard to read too much into that game, because Joe Burrow was basically playing on one leg at that point. That being said, I’m fully expecting another one score game this time around.

If the Bengals lose on Thursday, that’s going to essentially kill any shot they have of winning AFC North, which is why I think we’ll see them in desperation mode. I am mildly concerned at the fact that the Bengals have lost 13 STRAIGHT road prime-time games, but no one has been better than Burrow at ending these ugly franchise losing streaks and I’ll say he ends another one on Thursday. To bring this pick full circle, I’ll go ahead and say the Ravens blow a fourth quarter lead and the Bengals win on a field goal

The NFL has been scheduling bye weeks since 1990 and after 33 years, I think we can finally hand out the award for best bye week ever and that award goes to Travis Kelce.

I don’t necessarily know what qualifies as the best bye week ever, but I feel like taking a three-day trip to Argentina has to be on the list. Also, let’s not forget that Kelce flew all the way there just to hang out with an Eagles fan, which is somewhat suspicious because his Chiefs are PLAYING the Eagles this week.

I have no idea if Taylor Swift will be at the game on Monday, but if she shows up, she might want to borrow one of those split jerseys that Donna Kelce wears every time the Eagles and Chiefs play each other. The Super Bowl rematch between the Eagles and Chiefs is definitely the biggest game of the week. So who’s going to win? Let’s get to the picks and find out.

Actually, before we get to the Week 11 picks, here’s a quick reminder that you can check out the weekly picks from every CBSSports.com NFL expert by clicking here. In completely unrelated news, I’m in charge of the NFL newsletter here at CBSSports.com, which I’m only telling you about because it’s the perfect gift for the holidays. If you want to buy someone a gift, but you don’t actually want to spend money on them, just subscribe them to the newsletter. It’s the gift that keeps on giving. All you have to do is click here and enter their email address.

I’ve spent 11 weeks asking you to sign up for that newsletter and if you haven’t done it yet, I should probably just assume it’s not going to happen. And that’s alright. Even if you don’t sign up, I still love you and you still get my picks.

NFL Week 11 picks

Cincinnati (5-4) at Baltimore (7-3)

If the Bengals and Ravens get into a pregame scuffle on Thursday, it’s probably because they’re arguing about who had the worst loss in Week 10.

On one hand, we have the Bengals, who forgot to show up for the first three quarters against the Texans, but then still somehow almost won the game before losing 30-27 on a last-second field goal.

On the other hand, we have the Ravens, who lost a game they had no business losing. The Ravens were beating the Browns 31-17 with under 10 minutes left to play in the fourth quarter, and they somehow managed to blow that lead in a 33-31 loss.

The fact that the Ravens blew a fourth quarter lead is mildly concerning and that’s because they seem to do it every other week. If an NFL game was only three quarters long, the Ravens would be undefeated and they would have won the past five Super Bowls, but unfortunately, Roger Goodell hates the Ravens, which is why games are four quarters long.

So how bad have things gotten for the Ravens? This bad.

For whatever reason, the entire team seems to melt down whenever they have a big lead in the fourth quarter and that starts with Lamar Jackson. Since the start of the 2021 season, Jackson has 13 touchdowns and 13 turnovers in the fourth quarter (To put that in perspective, Joe Burrow has 25 touchdowns and 11 turnovers). Jackson has been even worse when the Ravens have the lead over that span with just five touchdowns and eight turnovers. He also has a QB rating of just 60.7 in games since 2021 where the Ravens have a fourth quarter lead, which is the worst rating in the NFL for any QB who has at least 20 attempts in that situation.

With those stats, it would be easy to pin this all on Jackson, but the defense has also been disappearing. If the Ravens start playing the fourth quarter like they play the first three quarters, this team would be nearly impossible to beat.

These two teams played back in Week 2 with the Ravens beating the Bengals 27-24, but it’s hard to read too much into that game, because Joe Burrow was basically playing on one leg at that point. That being said, I’m fully expecting another one score game this time around.

If the Bengals lose on Thursday, that’s going to essentially kill any shot they have of winning AFC North, which is why I think we’ll see them in desperation mode. I am mildly concerned at the fact that the Bengals have lost 13 STRAIGHT road prime-time games, but no one has been better than Burrow at ending these ugly franchise losing streaks and I’ll say he ends another one on Thursday. To bring this pick full circle, I’ll go ahead and say the Ravens blow a fourth quarter lead and the Bengals win on a field goal.

The pick: Bengals 23-20 over Ravens

If you want a more analytical approach to your NFL picks, then I highly suggest that you check out the SportsLine Projection Model, which has been on fire this year. Check it out if you want to know which side to bet for every game in Week 11.

Pittsburgh (6-3) at Cleveland (6-3)

For the first 10 weeks of the season, the Steelers offense was so bad that I was starting to think that their best offensive strategy would be to just not have an offense at all. I have no idea how that would have worked, but it certainly would have been an upgrade from what they were doing.

Over the past two weeks though, the Steelers offense has slowly been getting better and I’m pretty sure it’s happening because of two big changes the team made. First, they moved offensive coordinator Matt Canada down to the sideline, which has been a popular decision so far in the locker room.